Sport-locker.net can reveal, thanks to our friends at Castrol EDGE, that Fabio Capello’s England side has  a 8.8% chance of winning UEFA EURO 2012 and are fourth most likely to be crowned European Champions.

The insight comes from the new Castrol EDGE Calculator tool which launched today. 

England were drawn in Group D alongside France, Sweden and hosts, the Ukraine at the UEFA EURO 2012 draw which took place in Kiev last Friday.

Using the latest technology and data analysis techniques to identify which nations have the strongest chance of success at UEFA EURO 2012, the Castrol EDGE Calculator shows that England are most likely to progress to the quarter final stages (64%), with a strong chance of making the Semi Finals (33.8%) – no shock there then!

Looking more closely at England’s group, the Castrol EDGE Calculator predicts that England should win the group, but the other three teams will hotly contest the coveted second place spot- with the Ukraine on 49.2%, France on 45% and Sweden on 41.7%.

The Castrol EDGE Calculator shows that the eight teams with the strongest chance of making it to the knock out stages of the competition are; Spain, the Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Sweden, and  France.

The Castrol EDGE Calculator shows that Spain and the Netherlands-two of Europe’s strongest football nations are favourites to go head to head in the UEFA EURO 2012 Final on 1^st July in Kiev, with Spain most likely to be crowned Champions of Europe.

Portugal are perhaps the surprise package, who despite struggling in qualification, are still statistical considered to have a strong chance of success, at 8.4% and 5^th favorites to lift the trophy.

Fans can find the Castrol EDGE Calculator on castroledge.com/euro2012, where it will be updated after each UEFA EURO 2012 game so they can see the impact of every match result on their nation’s chances.

What do you think of the Castrol EDGE Calculator? Do you agree with its predictions? Let us know in the comments section below or on our Twitter and Facebook pages.